“My dear, here we must run as fast as we can,
just to stay in place. And if you wish to go anywhere
you must run twice as fast as that.”
Lewis Carroll, Alice in Wonderland
People's Liberation Army Versus the US Military
Zeno of Elea, son of Teleutagoras, the pupil and the friend of Parmenides, is supposed to have been born towards the beginning of the 5th century BC. In Plato's Parmenides, Socrates, "then very young," meets Parmenides, "an old man some sixty-five years of age," and Zeno, "a man of about forty, tall and personable," and engages them in philosophical discussion. Of the paradoxes used by Zeno to discredit the belief in plurality and motion, eight survive in the writings of Aristotle.
Zeno's Sixth Paradox holds that if a tortoise has the start of Achilles, Achilles can never come up with the tortoise; for, while Achilles traverses the distance from his starting-point to the starting-point of the tortoise, the tortoise advances a certain distance, and while Achilles traverses this distance, the tortoise makes a further advance, and so on ad infinitum. Consequently. Achilles may run ad infinitum without overtaking the tortoise. But here Zeno mistakenly confounds a finite distance infinitely divided with an infinite distance.
The PLA Air Force has been upgraded in the five years 2012-2017, with the "20" series aircraft. The J-20, a stealth fighter jet independently developed by China, was officially commissioned into military service on 28 September 2017. The Y-20, a versatile plane with a maximum takeoff weight of about 200 tons, is designed to carry cargo and personnel over long distances in hazardous terrain. It officially entered military service in July 2016. On September 2, 2016, PLA Air Force Commander Ma Xiaotian said that China is developing a new generation long-range strategic bomber. Chinese military enthusiasts and analysts call it the H-20, which they believe could match the US B-2 stealth bomber. The Z-20 utility helicopter, which China considers a match for the UH-60 Blackhawk, is also undergoing tests in plateau regions in China.
Deputy Defense Secretary Robert Work said 24 June 2015 that China was rapidly closing the technology and capabilities gap with the US when it comes to air and space defense superiority. The Defense Department, he said, "cannot overlook the competitive aspects of our relationship, especially in the realm of military capabilities, an area in which China continues to improve at a very impressive rate."
The United States is taking action to make sure it militarily stays ahead of China, US Defense Secretary Ashton Carter said on 06 November 2015 in remarks at Pearl Harbor, Hawaii. “We definitely keep an eye on China and we take specificactions to make sure we stay ahead of Chinese military capabilities,” Carter said. “This is built into our budget.”
China’s military buildup is approaching near parity with the United States on the land, sea, air and in cyber warfare, US Pacific Command (PACOM) commander Admiral Harry Harris told Congress on 21 February 2018. "China’s impressive military buildup could soon challenge the United States across almost every domain," commander Admiral Harris said in testimony before the House of Representatives Armed Services Committee. Key advancements include "fielding significant improvements in missile systems, developing fifth generation fighter aircraft capabilities, and growing the size and capability of the Chinese navy," Harris said.
Who is on First? PLA Versus USA - 25 Achievements | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Milestone | China | year | gap | year | USA | |
1st H-bomb test | CHIC 6 | 1967 | 13 | 1954 | TX-14 | |
Atomic Submarine, launch | Type 091 | 1970 | 16 | 1954 | Nautilus | |
Supersonic Aircraft, 1st flight | Q5 | 1965 | 18 | 1947 | X-1 | |
1st A-bomb test | CHIC 1 | 1964 | 19 | 1945 | Trinity | |
5th Generation Fighter, 1st flight | J-20 | 2010 | 20 | 1990 | F-22 | |
ICBM, 1st flight | DF-5 | 1979 | 22 | 1957 | Atlas | |
SLBM, 1st flight | Jl-1 | 1982 | 22 | 1960 | Polaris | |
Ballistic Missile Submarine, launch | Type 092 | 1981 | 22 | 1959 | Washington | |
Anti-Satellite Interceptor, 1st flight | SC-19 | 2007 | 22 | 1985 | ALMV | |
4th Generation Fighter, 1st flight | J-10 | 1996 | 24 | 1972 | F-15 | |
Stealth Aircraft, 1st flight | J-20 | 2010 | 29 | 1981 | F-117 | |
Solid ICBM, 1st flight | DF-31 | 1992 | 31 | 1961 | Minuteman | |
Long Range SLBM, 1st flight | Jl-2 | 2001 | 34 | 1977 | Trident I | |
Special Armor Tank | VT-4 | 2014 | 36 | 1978 | M1 Abrams | |
Large Unmanned Air Vehicle [UAV] | Tian Yi | 2009 | 36 | 1973 | YQM-94A | |
Attack Helicopter, 1st flight | WZ-10 | 2003 | 38 | 1965 | AH-1 | |
Piloted Spacecraft, 1st flight | Shenzhou 5 | 2003 | 41 | 1962 | MA-6 | |
Heavy Cargo Aircraft, 1st flight | Y-20 | 2012 | 44 | 1968 | C-5A | |
Man-Portable ATGM | HJ-12 | 2014 | 44 | 1970 | BGM-71 TOW | |
Single Aisle Pax Jet, 1st flight | C919 | 2016 | 51 | 1965 | DC-9 | |
Amphibious Assault Ship, launch | Type 075 | 2019 | 59 | 1960 | Iwo Jima | |
Dock Landing Ship, launch | Type 071 | 2006 | 64 | 1942 | Ashland | |
Carrier-Based AEW | KJ-600 | 2018 | 64 | 1954 | E-1 Tracer | |
Manned Lunar Landing | CZ-5 | 2030? | 61 | 1969 | Apollo 11 | |
Indigenous Aircraft Carrier, launch | CVA 003 | 2021? | 67 | 1954 | Forrestal | |
Supersonic Bomber, 1st flight | none | N/A | 51 | 1964 | B-70 | |
Heavy Bomber, 1st flight | none | N/A | 64 | 1952 | B-52 | |
NOTE: includes only USA and PRC domestic designs, excludes Chinese copies |
PLA Versus the US Military (As of January 2011) | ||
---|---|---|
China | United States | |
Defense Expenditure (Billions USD) Published Budget, current exchange rate |
78.6 (2010) 91.5 (2011) |
739.2 (FY10)1 741.2 (FY11)2 |
Defense Expenditure (Billions USD) Purchasing power parity (PPP) |
380 | 741 |
Total Servicemembers (Active) | 2,285,000 | 1,580,255 |
Total Servicemembers (Active and Reserve) | 2,795,000 | 2,444,802 |
Army Personnel | ~1,600,000 | 553,044 |
Marine Corps Personnel | 10,000 | 198,513 |
Total Nuclear Weapons | ~400 | 5,1133 |
Total Fighter Aircraft | 1,605 | 3,6954 |
Modern Combat Aircraft 5 | 307 | 3,695 |
Stealth Fighter Aircraft | 1 | 139 |
Bomber Aircraft | ~1126 | 154 |
Heavy Bombers | 0 | 154 |
Large Cargo Aircraft | 547 | 7488 |
Aerial Refueling Aircraft | 21 | 574 |
Total Surface Combatants9 | 38 | 111 |
Total Major Surface Combatants10 | 4 | 79 |
Aircraft Carriers | 1 | 11 |
Amphibious Assault Ships | 0 | 11 |
Amphibious Landing Ships11 | 1 | 24 |
Ballistic Missile Submarines | 3 | 14 |
Nuclear Attack Submarines | 6 | 54 |
Nuclear Cruise Missile Submarines | 0 | 4 |
Diesel Submarines | 52 | 0 |
Notes:
1 - This includes $75.5 billion in supplemental appropriations for 2009 and $130.0 billion for 2010 to support ongoing overseas contingency operations.
2 - This includes $33.0 billion for a 2010 supplemental request and $159.3 billion for 2011 to support ongoing overseas contingency operations.
3 - As of 30 September 2009
4 - Includes A-10 and OA-10 types
5 - Excludes Vietnam-era designs
6 - Does not include any residual number of obselete H-5/Il-28 types
7 - B-737-200, Il-76MD, Tu-154M, and Y-8
8 - C-5, C-17, and C-130s (less AC-130, HC-130, KC-130, and MC-130 types)
9 - 0ver 3000 tons
10 - 0ver 7500 tons
11 - Landing Ship Dock, Landing Platform Dock types
References
- FY 2011 Defense Budget
- FY 2010 Defense Budget
- ANNUAL REPORT TO CONGRESS: Military and Security Developments Involving the People's Republic of China 2010 Released 16 Aug 2010
- Officials declassify nuclear stockpile details to promote transparency AFNS 04 May 2010 -- US officials released details about the country's nuclear stockpile, including progress made in dismantling warheads.
- China Profile: Nuclear Capabilities @ the Nuclear Threat Initiative
- The Military Balance. London, UK: The International Institute for Strategic Studies, 2010
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